Voter turnout key to Clinton-Sanders battle for Iowa
27 replies, posted
[img]http://imgkk.com/i/dw89.png[/img]
[url]http://thehill.com/blogs/ballot-box/presidential-races/267506-iowa-voter-turnout-is-key-in-clinton-sanders-battle[/url]
[quote]In the end, it’s all about turnout.
With Hillary Clinton maintaining a paper-thin lead in Iowa over her rival Bernie Sanders, the Democratic candidates are spending the final days before the Iowa caucuses trying to increase the number of their supporters who will participate across the state.
Polls suggest that a heavy turnout will benefit Sanders, who beats Clinton in polls among those who have never caucused before.
If turnout is low, however, the edge goes to Clinton.
“If the turnout is not large, we’re going to be struggling,” the Vermont senator said at a Bloomberg Politics breakfast on Thursday. [/quote]
Also stakes r high:
[url]http://fivethirtyeight.com/features/what-happens-if-bernie-sanders-wins-iowa/[/url]
[quote][B]What if Sanders loses Iowa?[/B]
It’s probably over. Not that I’d expect Sanders to drop out of the race. Nor would I expect the media to stop covering it. Depending on Clinton’s margin of victory, you’d probably see some headlines about her resilience, but others saying the results had “raised doubts” about her campaign.
None of that would necessarily matter. Iowa should be one of the half-dozen or so most favorable states in the country for Sanders; New Hampshire is one of the few that ranks even higher for him. If Sanders can’t win Iowa, he probably won’t be winning other relatively favorable states like Wisconsin, much less more challenging ones like Ohio and Florida. His ceiling wouldn’t be high enough to win the nomination unless something major changes.[/quote]
Why the fuck is O'Malley still running
All comes down to this. Get out there and vote, Iowans. I gotta admit, as pleasantly surprised as I am with how far Sanders has come, I have always been very dubious about his chances of taking the presidency due to the nature of our democratic process. Sanders is wildly popular, unfortunately a large bulk of that popularity is among demographics who show low voter turnout rates. I like Sanders, I hope he succeeds, and even though he has exceeded my expectations, I am still as doubtful now as ever. Fingers crossed just the same.
[QUOTE=Killer900;49633494]Why the fuck is O'Malley still running[/QUOTE]
longer he stays in the more name recognition he's got for 2020
hello! iowa person here. get ready to feel the beeeeeeeeern
also living in iowa during elections SSUUUUUUUUUUUUUUUUUUUUUUUUUUUUUUUUUUUUUUUUUUUUUUUUUUUUUUUCKS
[QUOTE=Big Dumb American;49633508]All comes down to this. Get out there and vote, Iowans. I gotta admit, as pleasantly surprised as I am with how far Sanders has come, I have always been very dubious about his chances of taking the presidency due to the nature of our democratic process. Sanders is wildly popular, unfortunately a large bulk of that popularity is among demographics who show low voter turnout rates. I like Sanders, I hope he succeeds, and even though he has exceeded my expectations, I am still as doubtful now as ever. Fingers crossed just the same.[/QUOTE]
pretty much they have to get out and vote
[editline]29th January 2016[/editline]
[QUOTE=God of Ashes;49633531]hello! iowa person here. get ready to feel the beeeeeeeeern
also living in iowa during elections SSUUUUUUUUUUUUUUUUUUUUUUUUUUUUUUUUUUUUUUUUUUUUUUUUUUUUUUUCKS[/QUOTE]
please tell me you're going to vote
[QUOTE=theevilldeadII;49633725]pretty much they have to get out and vote
[editline]29th January 2016[/editline]
please tell me you're going to vote[/QUOTE]
He kinda implied that he is.
Godspeed, Bernie.
Hopefully the minority vote will realize this dude is serious if he can win this.
Imagine how goddamned beautiful it would be if Clinton got indicted for her bullshit, leaving Bernie to run unopposed for the candidacy
[QUOTE=God of Ashes;49633531]hello! iowa person here. get ready to feel the beeeeeeeeern
also living in iowa during elections SSUUUUUUUUUUUUUUUUUUUUUUUUUUUUUUUUUUUUUUUUUUUUUUUUUUUUUUUCKS[/QUOTE]
Bring. Your. Fucking. Friends & Family.
Wow I can't see how they got that trend line out of that graph, the data is shotgunned at best
[QUOTE=Killer900;49633494]Why the fuck is O'Malley still running[/QUOTE]
His votes would probably shift to Bernie and Gary Johnson if he dropped out.
Best if he did.
Wow, America is actually having an interesting election for once. I'm excited to see how this will turn out
[QUOTE=God of Ashes;49633531]hello! iowa person here. get ready to feel the beeeeeeeeern
also living in iowa during elections SSUUUUUUUUUUUUUUUUUUUUUUUUUUUUUUUUUUUUUUUUUUUUUUUUUUUUUUUCKS[/QUOTE]
It really does, but if you weren't planning already you should def caucus this year. This is the first year I'm planning on doing it just because it's so damn close.
[QUOTE=ZakkShock;49634841]Imagine how goddamned beautiful it would be if Clinton got indicted for her bullshit, leaving Bernie to run unopposed for the candidacy[/QUOTE]
O'Malley wins
I seriously hope Bernie wins Iowa.
Feel the Bern Cunton!
[QUOTE=Tacooo;49636961]Wow, America is actually having an interesting election for once. I'm excited to see how this will turn out[/QUOTE]
Very worrying election really, the GOP front runners are Cruz and Trump who are both insane idiots. On the Democrat side we have Hillary or Sanders. I'm really worried for my country, there's really no choice for people like me who aren't happy with either Sanders or Hillary.
[QUOTE=Sam Za Nemesis;49638617]Trump is nowhere an idiot, however I do wish Rand Paul was the front runner of the GOP, he's undoubtely the best candidate in the party right now, I can't even believe insane lunatic morons like Christie has more support than he does[/QUOTE]
Trump is definitely an idiot, he might be financially smart and good at playing the game but you wouldn't dare put him in the driver's seat of America.
[QUOTE=InvaderNouga;49638744]Trump is definitely an idiot, he might be financially smart and good at playing the game but you wouldn't dare put him in the driver's seat of America.[/QUOTE]
I didnt know filing bankruptcy qualifies as being financially smart
[QUOTE=Rangergxi;49636540]His votes would probably shift to Bernie and Gary Johnson if he dropped out.
Best if he did.[/QUOTE]
It doesn't matter for Iowa because they hold caucuses
[QUOTE=Rangergxi;49636540]His votes would probably shift to Bernie and Gary Johnson if he dropped out.
Best if he did.[/QUOTE]
Considering how caucuses work, he probably won't get any votes.
[QUOTE=InvaderNouga;49638585]Very worrying election really, the GOP front runners are Cruz and Trump who are both insane idiots. On the Democrat side we have Hillary or Sanders. I'm really worried for my country, there's really no choice for people like me who aren't happy with either Sanders or Hillary.[/QUOTE]
I mean, the chance of him winning is basically 0%, but you could vote for Gary Johnson.
[url]http://fivethirtyeight.com/features/the-final-des-moines-register-iowa-poll-is-out-how-accurate-will-it-be/[/url]
things aren't looking good for sanders
[QUOTE=TheHydra;49640653][url]http://fivethirtyeight.com/features/the-final-des-moines-register-iowa-poll-is-out-how-accurate-will-it-be/[/url]
things aren't looking good for sanders[/QUOTE]
I'm not sure I can technically say this is accurate... again it's using statistics, Statistically speaking, The Next President is going to be a Republican, except this time there is an anti-establishment, and human element this election.
Edit: Another thing her statistics didn't count for, was the confirmation that the Email had included TOP SECRET INFORMATION days before the IOWA Caucas
[QUOTE=OmniConsUme;49640748]Edit: Another thing her statistics didn't count for, was the confirmation that the Email had included TOP SECRET INFORMATION days before the IOWA Caucas[/QUOTE]
Thing is though, I haven't really noticed anyone giving enough of a shit about that. Nevertheless, I'm still heavily rooting for Sanders.
Common Bernie! I believe in you!
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