America’s Most and Least Popular Senators — July 2017
16 replies, posted
[quote]If Americans were feeling optimistic about their senators at the dawn of the new era of a Republican-controlled federal government, many are souring on those elected officials as the 115th Congress rolls on, according to Morning Consult’s new Senator Approval Rankings.
More than half of all senators saw negative swings in net approval outside of the surveys’ margins of error in their respective states. By comparison, over 20 senators saw their net approval rating decrease in the first quarter of the year from the 2016 pre-election rankings.
The rankings are based on more than 140,000 interviews with registered voters nationwide conducted from April 1 through June 18.[/quote]
[url]https://morningconsult.com/july-2017-senator-rankings/[/url]
[img]http://i.imgur.com/sNtlph2.png[/img] [img]http://i.imgur.com/ONqNvH1.png[/img]
Highest approval left and highest disapproval right. Full list in source.
Before anyone complains, the full methodology linked in the article notes that respondents were matched up to their senators and congressmen, meaning Democrats in Vermont aren't dragging down Mitch McConnell's score due to sampling bias.
It's incredible that McConnell can have a 48% disapproval rating and still have a safe seat. Republican gerrymandering has detached representatives from their job description.
Curious that the most disliked have such high approval.
[editline]13th July 2017[/editline]
At least compared to how the most liked have a very low disapproval rating
[QUOTE=.Isak.;52466384]Before anyone complains, the full methodology linked in the article notes that respondents were matched up to their senators and congressmen, meaning Democrats in Vermont aren't dragging down Mitch McConnell's score due to sampling bias.
It's incredible that McConnell can have a 48% disapproval rating and still have a safe seat. Republican gerrymandering has detached representatives from their job description.[/QUOTE]
It's not [I]entirely[/I] Gerrymandering. Even with record disapproval, Lindsay "I would never work with Donald Trump" Graham has a very safe seat. His party will not [I]change[/I] the nominee for the seat, and the Democrats know that there are so few democratic voters in Graham's constituency that it would be futile to pour money, time, effort and talent in to trying to bolster the weak democrats in South Carolina. (This is even part of why Hillary Clinton lost the election, since her team began trying to focus on the "low approval" Republican states in an attempt to secure additional Democratic pie, completely unaware of the fact that even though constituents may hate their representative, there are plenty of hypothetical alternatives they hate more.)
Likewise, Arizona (John McCain, #2 least popular) is not particularly Gerrymandered. It's just [I]very[/I] safe for Johnny, and his party would never dream of putting someone else in his seat for a multitude of reasons.
[QUOTE=Lambeth;52466460]Curious that the most disliked have such high approval.
[editline]13th July 2017[/editline]
At least compared to how the most liked have a very low disapproval rating[/QUOTE]
Polarized politics. If you take actions that are heavily polarizing, you can create a balance of extreme like-dislike, and win on the small margin of like over dislike. Compare, for flavor, the [B]massive[/B] unsure section that John Hoeven has in spite of his 66% approval. (I don't even know who he is without looking him up.)
Ey' one of the senators I voted for is up there. Surprising to say the least.
[QUOTE=Crazy Ivan;52466473]
Likewise, Arizona (John McCain, #2 least popular) is not particularly Gerrymandered. It's just [I]very[/I] safe for Johnny, and his party would never dream of putting someone else in his seat for a multitude of reasons.
[/QUOTE]
Like the chance that they might end up with somebody with a spine?
[QUOTE=.Isak.;52466384]Before anyone complains, the full methodology linked in the article notes that respondents were matched up to their senators and congressmen, meaning Democrats in Vermont aren't dragging down Mitch McConnell's score due to sampling bias.
It's incredible that McConnell can have a 48% disapproval rating and still have a safe seat. Republican gerrymandering has detached representatives from their job description.[/QUOTE]
States like Kentucky are "no matter how shitty the GOP candidate is, we sure as hell aren't voting democrat". Thus why John McCain gets reelected every election, too.
They are states where it's called, "Winning the primary is winning the election"
Please Kentucky. For the love of all that is holy. Remove Mcconnell from the lives of Americans in 2020. Everyone is sick of him.
Not surprised in the least that Bernie Sanders is so popular. If anything, I'm surprised he's not [I]more[/I] popular.
[QUOTE=.Isak.;52466384]It's incredible that McConnell can have a 48% disapproval rating and still have a safe seat. Republican gerrymandering has detached representatives from their job description.[/QUOTE]
Gerrymandering has no impact on US Senate elections whatsoever. Senators are directly elected at-large in each state; you can't possibly gerrymander an at-large district in any way. Well actually there is a way, but that would require redrawing [i]state borders[/i].
That's not to say that safe seats can't exist though; they can exist even when gerrymandering hasn't happened. For Senators who have served multiple terms despite relatively low approval ratings, its most probable that they either serve in a safe state which consistently prefers one party over the other (California for the Democrats, Mississippi for the Republicans etc), or they serve in a state where a third party consistently splits the vote of the other major party.
[QUOTE=Cyan_Husky;52467012]Please Kentucky. For the love of all that is holy. Remove Mcconnell from the lives of Americans in 2020. Everyone is sick of him.[/QUOTE]
Unlikely going to happen, he might continue to run until he dies. Besides, Kentucky is probably one of those "better dead than blue" states. It does suck that 4 of the Democrat senators who are on the most hated/disapproved are running for reelection, hopefully we keep the seats or (unlikely as hell) take a couple of seats away from the Republicans(like Arizona and Nevada, because it is unlikely we will see a Texas Democrat senator in 2018).
[QUOTE=ForcedDj;52467486]Unlikely going to happen, he might continue to run until he dies. Besides, Kentucky is probably one of those "better dead than blue" states. It does suck that 4 of the Democrat senators who are on the most hated/disapproved are running for reelection, hopefully we keep the seats or (unlikely as hell) take a couple of seats away from the Republicans(like Arizona and Nevada, because it is unlikely we will see a Texas Democrat senator in 2018).[/QUOTE]
Everyone hates Mitch. Or should I say everyone in the urban centers hate him. Unfortunately the state is 70-80% republican so he has automatic wins just like how Trump won the state. It's a deep red state here.
It warms my heart to see McConnell and McCain so high up.
[QUOTE=Cyan_Husky;52467012]Please Kentucky. For the love of all that is holy. Remove Mcconnell from the lives of Americans in 2020. Everyone is sick of him.[/QUOTE]
We keep trying...
[t]http://i.imgur.com/sNtlph2.png[/t]
actually these are team health bars
[QUOTE=.Isak.;52466384]Before anyone complains, the full methodology linked in the article notes that respondents were matched up to their senators and congressmen, meaning Democrats in Vermont aren't dragging down Mitch McConnell's score due to sampling bias.
It's incredible that McConnell can have a 48% disapproval rating and still have a safe seat. Republican gerrymandering has detached representatives from their job description.[/QUOTE]
the unfortunate part is you can't gerrymander a senator, he's increadibly powerful which equates to a safe seat even though he's fucking over his state with healthcare and tax give aways
[editline]14th July 2017[/editline]
i mean they elected rand paul who has done jack shit to the senate twice, so its not too suprising, maybe someday they'll take their senators seriously probably when they strip kentucky bare of healthcare, jobs, and people
he can still win
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