• More Latinos Seek Citizenship to Vote Against Trump
    6 replies, posted
[QUOTE]Over all, naturalization applications increased by 11 percent in the 2015 fiscal year over the year before, and jumped 14 percent during the six months ending in January, according to federal figures. The pace is picking up by the week, advocates say, and they estimate applications could approach one million in 2016, about 200,000 more than the average in recent years.[/QUOTE] [URL="http://www.nytimes.com/2016/03/08/us/trumps-rise-spurs-latino-immigrants-to-naturalize-to-vote-against-him.html?_r=3&referer=https://www.google.com/"]Source[/URL] I wonder if it will make the [URL="http://primarymodel.com/"]primary model[/URL] that has been accurate every time wrong this year.
It won't make any difference. Even if a [U]massive[/U] number of Latinos decided to seek citizenship, chances are very few of them would be citizens by November.
Oh god it's the Republican nightmare, Latinos getting citizenship to vote democrat. Why else would they filibuster their own immigration reform bill that pretty much gave them all the concessions they wanted in exchange for a path to citizenship [editline]8th March 2016[/editline] [QUOTE=Lurr;49890002]It won't make any difference. Even if a [U]massive[/U] number of Latinos decided to seek citizenship, chances are very few of them would be citizens by November.[/QUOTE] 5-8 months, and this has been happening since as far back as October of last year, remember these are people who have lived here for years, decades even so getting citizenship is actually a lot easier
[QUOTE=Lurr;49890002]It won't make any difference. Even if a [U]massive[/U] number of Latinos decided to seek citizenship, chances are very few of them would be citizens by November.[/QUOTE] Except it will. Anytime Latinos and Blacks go to the polls in force, Democrats win. It's simple math.
[QUOTE=1nfiniteseed;49890398]Except it will. Anytime Latinos and Blacks go to the polls in force, Democrats win. It's simple math.[/QUOTE] It will if the rest of the Democratic coalition of young people and liberals shows up, otherwise them showing up won't matter, especially if you look at record shattering turn outs at GOP primarys and caucuses. Meanwhile Democrats are down, [B]a lot[/B] from 2008.
[QUOTE=Durandal;49889918][URL="http://www.nytimes.com/2016/03/08/us/trumps-rise-spurs-latino-immigrants-to-naturalize-to-vote-against-him.html?_r=3&referer=https://www.google.com/"]Source[/URL] I wonder if it will make the [URL="http://primarymodel.com/"]primary model[/URL] that has been accurate every time wrong this year.[/QUOTE] saying "the primary model" like it's something familiar doesn't make it meaningful. coming from someone who's liable to think any single thing produced by a professor is worth valuing over a mountain of opinion i still think "the primary model" sounds like someone high on his own research, especially considering it's only actually predicted the president sine 1996.
[QUOTE=Durandal;49890514]It will if the rest of the Democratic coalition of young people and liberals shows up, otherwise them showing up won't matter, especially if you look at record shattering turn outs at GOP primarys and caucuses. Meanwhile Democrats are down, [B]a lot[/B] from 2008.[/QUOTE] Democratic primary turnout was low for Gore too and he won the popular vote. GOP has been having a very interesting election especially with Trump, so it naturally attracts more voter turnout. I don't think it says much for the general.
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