Monthly Heat Records Have Increased Worldwide by a Factor of Five. - Polidicks

[TABLE="class: outer_border, width: 800, align: left"] [TR] [TD] [TABLE="width: 640, align: center"] [TR] [TD][h2]Global Warming Has Increased Monthly Heat Records Worldwide by a Factor of Five, Study Finds.[/h2][B]Monthly temperature extremes have become much more frequent, as measurements from around the world indicate. On average, there are now five times as many record-breaking hot months worldwide than could be expected without long-term global warming, shows a study now published in Climatic Change.[/B][/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD][QUOTE][IMG]http://images.sciencedaily.com/2013/01/130114101732.jpg[/IMG][/QUOTE][/TD] [/TR] [/TABLE] [/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD] [TABLE="width: 500, align: center"] [TR] [TD]In parts of Europe, Africa and southern Asia the number of monthly records has increased even by a factor of ten. 80 percent of observed monthly records would not have occurred without human influence on climate, concludes the authors-team of the Potsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research (PIK) and the Complutense University of Madrid. "The last decade brought unprecedented heat waves; for instance in the US in 2012, in Russia in 2010, in Australia in 2009, and in Europe in 2003," lead-author Dim Coumou says. "Heat extremes are causing many deaths, major forest fires, and harvest losses -- societies and ecosystems are not adapted to ever new record-breaking temperatures." The new study relies on 131 years of monthly temperature data for more than 12,000 grid points around the world, provided by NASA. Comprehensive analysis reveals the increase in records. The researchers developed a robust statistical model that explains the surge in the number of records to be a consequence of the long-term global warming trend. That surge has been particularly steep over the last 40 years, due to a steep global-warming trend over this period. Superimposed on this long-term rise, the data show the effect of natural variability, with especially high numbers of heat records during years with El Niño events. This natural variability, however, does not explain the overall development of record events, found the researchers. Natural variability does not explain the overall development of record events If global warming continues, the study projects that the number of new monthly records will be 12 times as high in 30 years as it would be without climate change. "Now this doesn't mean there will be 12 times more hot summers in Europe than today -- it actually is worse," Coumou points out. For the new records set in the 2040s will not just be hot by today's standards. "To count as new records, they actually have to beat heat records set in the 2020s and 2030s, which will already be hotter than anything we have experienced to date," explains Coumou. "And this is just the global average -- in some continental regions, the increase in new records will be even greater." "Statistics alone cannot tell us what the cause of any single heat wave is, but they show a large and systematic increase in the number of heat records due to global warming," says Stefan Rahmstorf, a co-author of the study and co-chair of PIK's research domain Earth System Analysis. "Today, this increase is already so large that by far most monthly heat records are due to climate change. The science is clear that only a small fraction would have occurred naturally."[/TD] [/TR] [/TABLE] [/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD][B]Journal: [/B] Dim Coumou, Alexander Robinson, Stefan Rahmstorf. Global increase in record-breaking monthly-mean temperatures. Climatic Change, 2013; DOI:[URL]http://dx.doi.org/10.1007/s10584-012-0668-1[/URL][/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD][B]SOURCE: [/B] [URL]http://www.sciencedaily.com/releases/2013/01/130114101732.htm[/URL][/TD] [/TR] [/TABLE]

Call me a nut, but isn't global warming supposed to be gradual, not suddenly exponential and intense?

[QUOTE=Zambies!;39224365]Call me a nut, but isn't global warming supposed to be gradual, not suddenly exponential and intense?[/QUOTE] Yes, unless we're a factor. Everything we do is done exponentially.

Except in the places where there were new FREEZING records, right?

It's 30 in Kentucky and there's no snow. What the fuck mother nature? It was 65 fucking degrees yesterday.

It hit 76 in Georgia. Fucking 76, in January. That's insane.

[QUOTE=Zambies!;39224365]Call me a nut, but isn't global warming supposed to be gradual, not suddenly exponential and intense?[/QUOTE] it is gradual. these records aren't being broken by a whole lot, it's just happening a lot(which is to be expected with the earth warming).

Do people still think Global Warming is fake?

It is technically exponential. The melting of the icecaps (which reflect around 90% of uv rays iirc) is causing a lot more of the heat radiating from the sun to be absorbed by the ocean. This warming of arctic waters increases the rate of ice melting thus increasing the rate of hear absorption. Ala, exponential

we're all going to die

Its nice over here in Hawaii, you all should come over.

[QUOTE=lifehole;39224793]we're all going to die[/QUOTE] Humanity can adapt and we have the power to protect ourselves, for example with the use of drought resistant GM crops and such. Nature however is going to be hit pretty badly if this trend continues since it can't adapt as readily as we can.

I fear the day when summer hits over here in Texas.

By now global warming is pretty much a consensus among scientists in relation to its existence Surely popular culture should follow suit soon please

[QUOTE=Zambies!;39224365]Call me a nut, but isn't global warming supposed to be gradual, not suddenly exponential and intense?[/QUOTE] Positive feedback.

It's been dipping into the 30s lately in some parts of Southern California. These temperature fluctuations are pretty bizarre. Not unheard of, obviously

People are complaining it's cold here in california. It's 50 degrees and you think you need to wear a sweater.

How do we stop global warming?

Got up to 67 a few days ago, then dipped down to 15 at night, then went back up to 60, last winter was like this too.

[QUOTE=Zarjk;39224424]It's 30 in Kentucky and there's no snow. What the fuck mother nature? It was 65 fucking degrees yesterday.[/QUOTE] Dude, that's Chicago in a nutshell. It's fucking [I]freezing[/I] here, there is ice on everything, but no snow whatsoever. The other day, I went to class comfortably in shorts. Weather is fucking weird.

Time to initiate the plan [img]http://img198.imageshack.us/img198/2900/789pxgianticecube.jpg[/img]

[QUOTE=CottonTM;39225296]Time to initiate the plan [img]http://img198.imageshack.us/img198/2900/789pxgianticecube.jpg[/img][/QUOTE] It's not going to work

[QUOTE=Stopper;39224408]Except in the places where there were new FREEZING records, right?[/QUOTE] Global warming, or more appropriatly named global climate change means more extreme temperatures in both directions.

[QUOTE=BCell;39225338]It's not going to work[/QUOTE] The asteroid will run out of ice sooner or later.

I got an idea. What if we pump sea water and flood it into the deserts of Australia, Sahara and the US

I highly doubt this is human induced climate change. We're thousands of years overdue for an ice-age, and leading up to an ice-age there are moments of climate instability.

[QUOTE=Azza;39225930]I highly doubt this is human induced climate change. We're thousands of years overdue for an ice-age, and leading up to an ice-age there are moments of climate instability.[/QUOTE] there's no intelligent way to debunk our effect on the planets warming and cooling cycles. we've effected it largely. end of story.

[QUOTE=Azza;39225930]I highly doubt this is human induced climate change. We're thousands of years overdue for an ice-age, and leading up to an ice-age there are moments of climate instability.[/QUOTE] Tell me more, doctor, since you apparently [I]know[/I] a hugely complex multifactorial phenomenon with no definitive consensus on its cause is "overdue".

[QUOTE=HumanAbyss;39225946]there's no intelligent way to debunk our effect on the planets warming and cooling cycles. we've effected it largely. end of story.[/QUOTE] So in other words, we are FUCKED.

[QUOTE=BCell;39225949]So in other words, we are FUCKED.[/QUOTE] depending on who you ask. depending on how you determine fucked.