April 5th WISCONSIN primary. The establishment tyranny ends today
235 replies, posted
[url]http://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/election-2016/primary-forecast/wisconsin-republican/[/url]
[url]http://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/election-2016/primary-forecast/wisconsin-democratic/[/url]
[QUOTE]According to our final polls-plus forecast, Bernie Sanders has a 72% chance of winning the Wisconsin primary.[/QUOTE]
[QUOTE]According to our final polls-plus forecast, Ted Cruz has an 89% chance of winning the Wisconsin primary.
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live coverage
[url]http://www.theguardian.com/us-news/ng-interactive/2016/apr/05/wisconsin-primary-results-live-election-2016[/url]
Come on my main man Bernie.
Also hooooooly fuck what's happened to Trump?
A projected victory of 50.2% is not good enough. He needs like 70% or something.
Edit: Also Trump will catch up as he is expected to win big in New York.
[QUOTE=GrizzlyBear;50073934]Come on my main man Bernie.
Also hooooooly fuck what's happened to Trump?[/QUOTE]
Trump, like Shillary, had an extraordinary start in the primaries but if you ask me, neither will come out on top with a nomination. Trump can't get enough delegates and killary is losing support among democrats
What the hell is a polls-[B]plus[/B] now?
How is Cruz anti establishment and Trump not
[QUOTE=RIPBILLYMAYS;50074018]How is Cruz anti establishment and Trump not[/QUOTE]
The title is in reference to sanders
[QUOTE=Chaitin;50073942]A projected victory of 50.2% is not good enough. He needs like 70% or something.
Edit: Also Trump will catch up as he is expected to win big in New York.[/QUOTE]
Trump's expected to win by massive margins in New York, dare I say he might just capture all the delegates possibly. Wisconsin is much more important to win for Cruz than Trump.
Come on trump, let's pull a win!
Bernie needs to win between 55-70% to come out really strongly here. Lets hope he pulls it off.
[QUOTE=Chaitin;50073942]A projected victory of 50.2% is not good enough. He needs like 70% or something.
Edit: Also Trump will catch up as he is expected to win big in New York.[/QUOTE]
Not quite 70%, Nate Silver pegs him at 66% if he wants to take the nomination. Very much probably not gonna happen, but Wisconsin isn't [I]the[/I] most delegate heavy state, so he [I]could[/I] make those up in other, larger primaries if he over-over performs there.
Regardless it'll come down to NY and California
[QUOTE=Bat-shit;50074005]What the hell is a polls-[B]plus[/B] now?[/QUOTE]
it gives a boost to establishment politicians + home state advantage
for the republicans that measure is essentially useless now that most of the establishment favorites are out of the race
Trump is pretty badly fucked if he loses Wisconsin, it all but guarantees he falls short of the magic 1237 delegates to ensure the GOP doesn't hand the nomination to someone else (probably Cruz, party is desperate enough to pick anyone who is "not Trump").
Maybe if Trump loses Wisconsin it will convince more people to vote Bernie, since some people are for Clinton just for the fact they think she will be a better candidate against Trump.
[QUOTE=GrizzlyBear;50073934]Also hooooooly fuck what's happened to Trump?[/QUOTE]
He got stumped!
Shouldn't this be called the end of the establishment tyranny begins today.
[QUOTE=JohnFisher89;50074064]Come on trump, let's pull a win![/QUOTE]
Don't be like this guy
[QUOTE=GrizzlyBear;50073934]Come on my main man Bernie.
Also hooooooly fuck what's happened to Trump?[/QUOTE]
I don't know, but Cruz winning will bring me one step closer to being $330 richer.
[QUOTE=Hat-Wearing Man;50074339]Don't be like this guy[/QUOTE]
Sanders supporters should be rooting for trump over cruz if anything
[QUOTE=Aztec;50074433]Sanders supporters should be rooting for trump over cruz if anything[/QUOTE]
How about I root for neither because they are both pretty awful?
Also fingers crossed for a massive blowout win for Bernie
[QUOTE=JohnFisher89;50074064]Come on trump, let's pull a win![/QUOTE]
For your sake, I hope he doesn't win.
[editline]5th April 2016[/editline]
[QUOTE=Aztec;50074433]Sanders supporters should be rooting for trump over cruz if anything[/QUOTE]
They're not that different.
[Quote]
They're not that different.[/QUOTE]
They poll a lot different in head to head match ups against bernie
[editline]5th April 2016[/editline]
[QUOTE=WitheredGryphon;50074473]How about I root for neither because they are both pretty awful?
Also fingers crossed for a massive blowout win for Bernie[/QUOTE]
"If anything"
Voted for Sanders at 9AM today in La Crosse. There weren't many people but I'm imagining most students will vote in the evening when they are done with class.
[QUOTE=Medevila;50074259]you're bound to be pretty disillusioned when the primaries are over... [URL="http://fivethirtyeight.com/features/its-really-hard-to-get-bernie-sanders-988-more-delegates/"]since you seem to like 538[/URL]
hey, at least there's a chance Trump won't lock up enough delegates[/QUOTE]
To be honest, Cruz is just slightly less loud about being just as big of an asshole.
Make anime great again!
[QUOTE=Aztec;50074498]"If anything"[/QUOTE]
If anything I won't vote for either, because that implies I support their plans which is the exact opposite.
I live in Wisconsin and I voted Bernie today
Defiant to the end Cody.
It won't end pretty though.
[QUOTE=Doom64hunter;50074875]Defiant to the end Cody.
It won't end pretty though.[/QUOTE]
Lol all all you naysayers sure love spouting that Bernie has no chance of winning at every possible turn don't you.
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