Death/Birth rate, and the population of the world.
67 replies, posted
So I was at my friend's house the other day and he's a big follower of YouTube stars. He was watching Dan Brown of Philip DePenis or whatever his name is, whatever, one of those cocks, and they linked to this "real time" map that pinged every time a country expelled 1,000 tons of carbon in to the atmosphere (which was bullshit), and it also pinged based of statistics every time someone was born, or someone died.
(Without factoring mortality rate):
So the average birth rate was 600 babies every 2 minutes, which I'm going to round down to 1 minute to make this easier. So at that rate there would be 6,000 new babies born in 10 minutes, and in an hour 36,000. So in 1 week there would be 6,000,000 babies that have been born. After 1 month, you would have 26,000,000 new human beings on this planet. After 1 year you would have 315,000,000 new people. In roughly 3 years you would have 1 billion people.
From last I heard our planet sustains 8 billion human beings, not factoring all the ones who weren't counted. Now the death rate, which is about 1/3 the birth rate, would FAR surpass 8 billion in 70 years, which is about one generation.
I'm not saying that we are being lied to, I'm just saying it seems highly unlikely that this is possible. Most of it was estimates and rounding, though.
What do you think Facepunch? Do you think there really are 8 billion humans on this planet?
Also;
[URL=http://img248.imageshack.us/i/multiplebabies.jpg/][IMG]http://img248.imageshack.us/img248/9247/multiplebabies.jpg[/IMG][/URL]
BABIES EVERYWHAR
Your number is already inaccurate simply because you rounded down a minute because you suck at math
[QUOTE=HAKKAR!!!;22301662]Your number is already inaccurate simply because you rounded down a minute because you suck at math[/QUOTE]
Even if you rounded by two minutes the number would still be exceptionally high, so the point still stands.
Also, yeah, I'm bad at math.
[quote]So the average birth rate was 600 babies every 2 minutes, which I'm going to round down to 1 minute to make this easier. So at that rate there would be 6,000 new babies born in 10 minutes[/quote]
You were still counting 600, shouldn't it be 300, since you halved it? :/
So what? We have both enough land and enough food to support them.
I'm not really sure, but this is why Earth needs to get its shit together and start focusing its research towards agriculture, space technology, and teaching our young because we gotta get off this planet and make more room and get all scientific up in this bitch before something aweful happens to Earth.
(sorry that its just a LIL off topic)
Wow.
Talk about doing retarded math.
You halved the time but not the amount. You're not making it easy, you're making it dumb.
And why wouldn't there be 8 billion people on the planet?
[QUOTE=xDrTran;22301745]You were still counting 600, shouldn't it be 300, since you halved it? :/[/QUOTE]
OKAY, by 1 year you would have 105,000,000 (down from 315,000,000) which is still a fuck ton.
[QUOTE=Wolverunder;22301710]Even if you rounded by two minutes the number would still be exceptionally high, so the point still stands.
Also, yeah, I'm bad at math.[/QUOTE]
If you do two minutes/2 you should do 600 babies/2 too =.=
Fuck. The math, either way, it comes out as a big number, that's the point. Christ.
[QUOTE=Wolverunder;22301829]Fuck. The math, either way, it comes out as a big number, that's the point. Christ.[/QUOTE]
No it isn't.
And the population growing too fast is a pretty common problem.
[QUOTE=Wolverunder;22301808]OKAY, by 1 year you would have 105,000,000 (down from 315,000,000) which is still a fuck ton.[/QUOTE]
But is absolutely nowhere near 315,000,000 which is 3 times as much.
[QUOTE=dgg;22301840]No it isn't.
And the population growing too fast is a pretty common problem.
But is absolutely nowhere near 315,000,000 which is 3 times as much.[/QUOTE]
Do you at least get the point I'm trying to get across?
significant amount of the death rate isn't reported as a good portion of the birth rate occurs in third world countries where most children die after birth anyway
300 = 1 minute
3000 = 10 minutes
18 000 = 1 hour
432 000 = 1 day
3 024 000 = 1 week
12 096 000 = 1 month
145 152 000 = 1 year.
There we go.
[editline]04:25PM[/editline]
[QUOTE=Wolverunder;22301867]Do you at least get the point I'm trying to get across?[/QUOTE]
Of course I do. And I have no idea why you question if we have 8 billion people in the world.
Fine, fuck my titties, it was just a theory. 8 billion just seems like a ridiculously steep number. How do they even accurately tally these statistics anyway?
Not all of the babies survive the first years of their lives.
[QUOTE=Wolverunder;22301921]Fine, fuck my titties, it was just a theory. 8 billion just seems like a ridiculously steep number. How do they even accurately tally these statistics anyway?[/QUOTE]
They don't.
Nothing like is can be "accurate", not even CLOSE.
It's just based on averages, which would change yearly, monthly and daily. :/
[QUOTE=Wolverunder;22301921]Fine, fuck my titties, it was just a theory. 8 billion just seems like a ridiculously steep number. How do they even accurately tally these statistics anyway?[/QUOTE]
Every person that lives in the industrial world has papers for it's existence. Of course some exceptions for special kidnapping reasons and such. Whenever a person dies it is logged, whenever a person is born it is logged.
When you're born you get papers for being born at that and that time by that and that parent.
When you die your papers are filed and stored away classified as dead.
Most second grade countries does the same. Third world countries are probably pure averages through observation.
Clash it all together and find the average.
[QUOTE=Wolverunder;22301921]Fine, fuck my titties, it was just a theory. 8 billion just seems like a ridiculously steep number. How do they even accurately tally these statistics anyway?[/QUOTE]
Eh, do we really have to explain to you that parents go to city hell when a baby is born, to register it?
There is 6,697,254,041 people on this planet at this very moment of posting according to Google.
[QUOTE=dgg;22301962]Every person that lives in the industrial world has papers for it's existence. Of course some exceptions for special kidnapping reasons and such. Whenever a person dies it is logged, whenever a person is born it is logged.
When you're born you get papers for being born at that and that time by that and that parent.
When you die your papers are filed and stored away classified as dead.[/QUOTE]
So wouldn't that mean the number would be even higher if you accounted the people who weren't logged, like in third-world countries and such? Just so everybody knows I'm just trying to get my facts straight, I'm not challenging this.
Oh never mind, you edited your post.
They don't accurately tally these statistics, all they really have are "educated" guesses.
[QUOTE=Canuhearme?;22301796]So what? We have both enough land and enough food to support them.[/QUOTE]
No we don't.
This thread isn't as bad as the other ones. Such when someone was complaining that we had too many people on this planet, and began comparing the value of human lives to refrigerators.
Also take a look at this graph showing the current growth and how fast population has started to grow in the last 1-200 years. The line expands to 2100 showing 3 possbile outcomes/guesses based on what we currently know.
[img]http://dl.dropbox.com/u/3655193/StraightFromWikipediaMotherfuckers.png[/img]
[QUOTE=SpartanApples;22302025]No we don't.[/QUOTE]
Yes we do.
Famine in third world nations are largely artificial in nature.
Europe and the United States have actually started using [B]LESS[/B] farmland, yet we've produced more food then we've ever produced before.
[QUOTE=Drainwater;22301995]They don't accurately tally these statistics, all they really have are "educated" guesses.[/QUOTE]
For countries without records on people yes.
[QUOTE=dgg;22302064]Also take a look at this graph showing the current growth and how fast population has started to grow in the last 1-200 years. The line expands to 2100 showing 3 possbile outcomes/guesses based on what we currently know.
[/QUOTE]
1.5Billion extra people in 8 years :v:
[QUOTE=Canuhearme?;22302068]Europe and the United States have actually started using [B]LESS[/B] farmland, yet we've produced more food then we've ever produced before.[/QUOTE]
Problem is that we produce a lot of food and throw most of it away because of the way our markets works these days. A downright waste of food and we have no intention of sharing it either because there is no money to gain from it.
Worst part is that we have produce heaps of food INSIDE thrid rate countries and ship it over to us.
Oh wait, thats 2020 =.=
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