• [Canada] NDP Trail Conservatives by 3%, a new poll finds
    101 replies, posted
[url=http://news.nationalpost.com/2011/04/27/ndp-trail-tories-by-just-three-points-new-poll-finds/]Source[/url] [img]http://www.2day.ca/assets/images/natioal_post_logo.jpg[/img] [quote] Conservative leader Stephen Harper no longer enjoys a comfortable lead ahead of the surging NDP, as a new poll shows the left-leaning party swelling to within just a few points of the reigning Tories. According to the latest Forum Research poll, Jack Layton’s party enjoys the support of 31% of those surveyed — only three points behind the governing Conservatives, who fell to 34% from the 36% support the party gleaned as of April 21. The Liberals, having been reduced to third place in a slew of recent polls, dwindled to 22% in this latest survey, while the Bloc Quebecois remained unchanged at 6%. If these numbers are reflected on polling day, the NDP could grow from 37 to 108 seats in the House of Commons, forming the official opposition in a Parliament that would host 137 Tory MPs, 60 Liberals, and just 3 Bloc representatives. The poll, based on a telephone survey of 3,150 randomly selected eligible voters across the country, was conducted on Tuesday. “With the NDP continuing to gain steam from coast to coast, and both the Liberal and Conservative party support lagging, the key question now is whether the NDP have the ground troops to deliver their vote on election day,” Lorne Bozinoff, president of Forum Research, said in a press release. The poll shows the Tories losing considerable ground in the Atlantic provinces, where support has apparently slipped from 33% to 26% since April 21. There, NDP support rose 13 points to 35%. In La Belle Province, 40% of voters said they support the NDP, having usurped a small percentage of votes from both the Bloc and Liberal parties there. The New Democrats orange tide is also sweeping Ontario, according to the poll, which showed the party rising six points to capture 26% support. The lion’s share of that gain came at the expense of the Tories, who slipped from 42% to 38% in the battleground province. As the federal election campaign enters its final days, the NDP will be looking to ensure their momentum sticks — the party tends to shed support to the Grits in the final stretch, as voters flop to the party once known as the only camp that could conceivably defeat the Tories. Results based on the total sample are considered accurate +/- 1.8%, 19 times out of 20. The regional results are less accurate. [/quote] Very interesting. I can't wait to see how this plays out in the coming days. Party leaders, listed from left to right: [img]http://www.digitaljournal.com/img/8/7/3/i/5/9/7/o/CanadaNov09-PartyLeaders.jpg[/img] Stephen Harper, [b]Conservative[/b] Michael Ignatieff, [b]Liberal[/b] Jack Layton, [b]NDP[/b] Elizabeth May, [b]Green[/b] Gilles Duceppe, [b]Bloc Quebecois[/b]
I would love if the NDP got a large amount of seats. They always come out behind the conservatives and liberals. And god, Jack layton is quite a good speaker.
[QUOTE=garrynohome;29470214]I would love if the NDP got a large amount of seats. They always come out behind the conservatives and liberals.[/QUOTE] An NDP minority would be the best thing to happen to this country in decades
They want to increase corporate taxes, but I don't know if they are like America, but still, I would vote for them.
It's good to see that social democracy is still growing in some parts of the world, unlike Europe where election after election results in nationalist and conservative parties gaining large amount of seats.
[QUOTE=Roof;29470246]They want to increase corporate taxes, but I don't know if they are like America, but still, I would vote for them.[/QUOTE] Canadian corporate taxes are actually very low compared to other western nations, and Harper wants to lower them even more. I'm glad to see the NDP finally gain support in the polls, but I'm worried that we'll see the same old result on election day. What people say and what they do are two very different things. But hell, I'd be glad to see the NDP for the Official Opposition to a Conservative minority if push comes to shove.
Fuck yeah Layton
[QUOTE=Roof;29470246]They want to increase corporate taxes, but I don't know if they are like America, but still, I would vote for them.[/QUOTE] [url=http://www.ccdonline.ca/en/socialpolicy/elections/2011/ndp-platform]NDP Party Platform, as of April 10, 2011[/url]. That might help clarify some issues you're having. [url=http://www.ndp.ca/platform]Or the official one[/url] Other party platforms: [url=http://www.conservative.ca/policy/platform_2011/]Conservative Party[/url] [url=http://www.liberal.ca/platform/]Liberal Party[/url] [url=http://greenparty.ca/platform2011]Green Party[/url]
[QUOTE=Shadowstone;29470446][url=http://www.ccdonline.ca/en/socialpolicy/elections/2011/ndp-platform]NDP Party Platform, as of April 10, 2011[/url]. That might help clarify some issues you're having. [url=http://www.ndp.ca/platform]Or the official one[/url] Other party platforms: [url=http://www.conservative.ca/policy/platform_2011/]Conservative Party[/url] [url=http://www.liberal.ca/platform/]Liberal Party[/url] [url=http://greenparty.ca/platform2011]Green Party[/url][/QUOTE] Thanks for the link, I have to take part in a Student Vote at my school tomorrow and it'll be good to take a look at the platforms.
[QUOTE=Kinversulath;29470427] I'm glad to see the NDP finally gain support in the polls, but I'm worried that we'll see the same old result on election day. What people say and what they do are two very different things. [/QUOTE] I'm still expecting a conservative minority, yeah.
I voted NDP earlier today, I made a [I]difference.[/I]
[QUOTE=doonbugie2;29470539]I voted NDP earlier today, I made a [I]difference.[/I][/QUOTE] Yeah, I voted NDP on Saturday We're [i]difference makers[/i]
[i]I'm different[/i]
Surprised you guys didn't vote for the gold party - It's platform is booze, drugs, and investing millions into insults of french people. Oh wait, I got that mixed up with the conservatives.
Should I vote for NDP or Liberal in the Halton riding? I don't want a wasted vote!
[QUOTE=Armyis1337;29470684]Should I vote for NDP or Liberal in the Halton riding? I don't want a wasted vote![/QUOTE] [url=projectdemocracy.ca]Check here[/url] Looks like a safe conservative riding, so try liberal. [url]http://www.projectdemocracy.ca/node/559[/url]
[QUOTE=Armyis1337;29470684]Should I vote for NDP or Liberal in the Halton riding? I don't want a wasted vote![/QUOTE] Look at your '08 election results and then factor in the NDP's popularity surge and guesstimate who will be most likely to beat the conservatives if your only goal is to prevent Harper from winning [editline]27th April 2011[/editline] [QUOTE=Shadowstone;29470733][url=projectdemocracy.ca]Check here[/url] Looks like a safe conservative riding, so try liberal. [url]http://www.projectdemocracy.ca/node/559[/url][/QUOTE] [url=http://www.projectdemocracy.ca/desneth%C3%A9-missinippi-churchill-river]They figure I should vote Liberal[/url] but the attitudes I'm seeing around here seem to indicate a huge surge in NDP support so I voted them
[QUOTE=Zeke129;29470736]Look at your '08 election results and then factor in the NDP's popularity surge and guesstimate who will be most likely to beat the conservatives if your only goal is to prevent Harper from winning [editline]27th April 2011[/editline] [URL="http://www.projectdemocracy.ca/desneth%C3%A9-missinippi-churchill-river"]They figure I should vote Liberal[/URL] but the attitudes I'm seeing around here seem to indicate a huge surge in NDP support so I voted them[/QUOTE] Looks like I'm going to vote Liberal then! Looks like your riding was close to begin with: [IMG]http://imgur.com/cIrAl.png[/IMG] Mine not so much: [IMG]http://imgur.com/DnD2w.png[/IMG]
I don't much want Harper as PM again but in terms of my local politics, I wouldn't mind a conservative MP. The guy who is in power now is actually pretty decent.
[QUOTE=Shadowstone;29470733][url=projectdemocracy.ca]Check here[/url] Looks like a safe conservative riding, so try liberal. [url]http://www.projectdemocracy.ca/node/559[/url][/QUOTE] Mine tells me that I should vote to my preference, there's no chance in hell that the Conservatives will lose my riding.
I love Halifax [IMG]http://filesmelt.com/dl/poll.png[/IMG]
[QUOTE=Sergeant Turtle;29471222]I love Halifax [img_thumb]http://filesmelt.com/dl/poll.png[/img_thumb][/QUOTE] The east coast is so curious, highly christian but also really liberal
Keep note that those values are approximate and the team on that website tries to do the stats as best as they can, although it might not always be completely accurate!
[QUOTE=Zeke129;29470570]Yeah, I voted NDP on Saturday We're [i]difference makers[/i][/QUOTE] Thought you said you were going liberal?
[QUOTE=Jakemop;29471317]Thought you said you were going liberal?[/QUOTE] I was until NDP really got it together
[QUOTE=Zeke129;29471238]The east coast is so curious, highly christian but also really liberal[/QUOTE] Are you implying Christians are not Liberal? I'm a Christian and I'm high Liberal.
[QUOTE=Armyis1337;29471706]Are you implying Christians are not Liberal? I'm a Christian and I'm high Liberal.[/QUOTE] There are obviously exceptions (as I was just talking about) but it isn't the norm Christians are usually conservative
Fuck yes. Keep gaining momentum, NDP! Don't stop now! And I sure as hell hope the conservatives keep losing support. AND that the polls in this case will reflect election results, if that is the case. [editline]27th April 2011[/editline] Use this link to stay ahead! [url]http://www.sfu.ca/~aheard/elections/polls.html[/url]
Good to see NDP gaining support. If they can get a minority, it will truly be a joyous day.
[QUOTE=Megafanx13;29471904]Good to see NDP gaining support. If they can get a minority, it will truly be a joyous day.[/QUOTE] Don't get your hopes up yet. Opinion polls, strangely, don't often reflect accurately the actual votes. Lots of Canadians who might support the NDP might not care enough to vote at all. But I've got my fingers crossed. [editline]27th April 2011[/editline] Jack Layton one day swore he'd never shave his 'stache off until he became elected Prime Minister. I wonder what he'll look like without it.
Sorry, you need to Log In to post a reply to this thread.