David Davis attacks 'flawed' economic forecasts post-Brexit - Polidicks

https://www.bbc.com/news/uk-politics-46375841

Is this because of the posts in the other thread pointing out how Brexit fucked things up?

David Davis? You mean the man who was supposed to do an impact analysis of Brexit but for a whole year he did literally nothing instead? lol of course I’ll listen to what this joker has to say

Oh I see, so Economists and scientists say it's bad But David Davis, a guy whose A levels were too bad to get into university so he went into the army as an infantryman, and later went to uni into molecular chemistry, surely knows more about macroeconomics. I don't know who to trust, the sides are intellectually so even. Fuck off

History shows that we must be cautious about Brexit forecasts

this also said basically nothing other than "maybe things won't be so bad" but expanded on, with little data comparison excepting the one debatable point of lowered population. It also admits that brexit may not be easily mitigated as the government says it would, and that they haven't analyzed all the possible outcomes. Without a core analysis that has as much detail as what we got for the previous economic impact studies, I'm taking this with a pinch of salt.

nice name

So it does https://files.facepunch.com/forum/upload/204913/ca8b720c-139c-44bd-991b-07c975a17010/image.png

I never see anyone explain exactly how we'd be fine just reverting to WTO rules. Cus when you look at the basics of what that would mean, it's clear it would fuck up just-in-time production lines, it would lead to big ass delays at the border which we don't have the facility to handle so would lead to Operation Stack HD Remastered Edition, it would fuck up medicine and food imports and cause a hard border in Ireland to name just a few things But hard Brexiteers seem to just point at the cliff and say "we can jump off that, it's just fearmongering, think of how free we'll be after we jump". Okay but like, how will we be okay?

david davis covers his ears and ignores reality

Taking a running leap off of a cliff gives you great freedom. Briefly. It's all sunshine and roses as long as you don't think too many seconds too far ahead. I fear for the country that takes this as relevant political philosophy.

An article by a hard right conservative economist and failed politician. Again, not comparable to the scientific consensus of peer review. An article is not a peer reviewed paper or analysis.

Yeah, but not even getting into university is considered an asset to this government because we've had enough of experts.

everybody is a statistical modeling genius these days and can immediately without any effort assess the validity of a study's modeling and determine that that is the problem not, you know the conditions they're simulating like leaving the EU and its massive frictionless economy and getting some kind of deal maybe down the road causing massive economic upheaval. or climate change reports being too dire because the models are off.

I'll take the flawed analysis over the baseless promises of a failed cabinet member.

https://www.theguardian.com/politics/2018/nov/29/london-to-lose-800bn-to-frankfurt-as-banks-prepare-for-brexit there's 400 billion dollars soon to go down the drain already, but brexit won't be that bad amirite

I wish someone would attacked the flawed David Davis - peacefully obviously

>"lobby group Frankfurt Main Finance"

"Group with interests I'm against is wrong because group with interests I support says something else"

You've had the French pushing Paris, Irish pushing Dublin etc.

Oh shit I didn't know that "after it was confirmed that 30 banks and financial firms had chosen the city as the site of their new EU headquarters." is a statement with political bias, surely you have shown me the error of my ways. By which I mean you still literally can not read any human language.

We must be cautious about forecasts because there's historical precedent that jumping off a cliff doesn't necessarily kill you

It's "flawed" because it doesn't agree with what I want to believe.

Literally "Feels before reels" as usual

Two shattered legs and a broken spine count as surviving the fall but only on a technicality. You can't call yourself a bird soaring to new heights while your broken body lays in a heap at the base of the cliff.

That's what "experts" want you to believe

A doctor told me that a fall from that height would seriously maim and/or kill me, but my politician mate down the pub told me they're all liars and that sand is actually made out of rubber, so we should all jump and enjoy the fun trampoline at the bottom! When I jumped and shattered every bone in my body he didn't jump with me though .. weird ......