There's no pattern behind the wrench drops, but they can be predicted
634 replies, posted
I'LL GET IT NEXT TIME, I KNOW IT
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The fuck I crafted two items, then the message pops up.
FML.
do you still get items from the training mode D: ?
65 went to a furry :crying:
Fucking furries
[QUOTE=Arvuti;23177944]do you still get items from the training mode D: ?[/QUOTE]
Yup.
[QUOTE=Arvuti;23177944]do you still get items from the training mode D: ?[/QUOTE]
-snip-
Fucking furries.
QUICK, MAKE YOUR AVATAR ANIMIE/FURRY, GET A WRENCH
So has anyone got an idea of the intervals? It seems fairly uniform now.
I think I know the pattern but I don't want to share it since people might get it before me now. I need to craft at THAT time and I will positively get that wrench. :smug:
[QUOTE=Luxy;23177971]Fucking furries.
QUICK, MAKE YOUR AVATAR ANIMIE/FURRY, GET A WRENCH[/QUOTE]
I got a friend trying that out :v:
[QUOTE=Luxy;23177971]Fucking furries.
QUICK, MAKE YOUR AVATAR ANIMIE/FURRY, GET A WRENCH[/QUOTE]
Done :v:
About 5 minutes apart it seems to me.
[QUOTE=Insane516;23177978]I think I know the pattern but I don't want to share it since people might get it before me now. I need to craft at THAT time and I will positively get that wrench. :smug:[/QUOTE]
You do know that around 20 have claimed that(for today).
A WoW playing furry no less.
13 minutes from now till next wrench.
There was a 20 minute Delay between 3 recent wrench drops
[QUOTE=Arvuti;23177944]do you still get items from the training mode D: ?[/QUOTE]
Seriously? I can idle in training mode?
The last wrench will drop on thursday.
There's a finite sum of between-each-drop times .
One can make a equation:
96h = The sum of (Wrench number i)drop time + (Random)amount of time.
It'd go like:
Wrench 1 drop time + Random + Wrench 2 drop time + random + Wrench3..... + Wrench 100 = 96h
There is a pattern.
We'd get an equation with 100 unknown variables that affect each other. So there is a pattern, yet you'd have to be good at advanced math (probability) to figure it out.
65, 10 remaining. :v:
Umm. Update may come between 6-12 hours from now. This means wrench time could get stretched a bit now. If it doesn't happen in 15-20 mins now, it is possible that next may come in 1 or 2 hours.
[QUOTE=Killuah;23178013]Seriously? I can idle in training mode?[/QUOTE]
Like i said, yes. I just got like a FaN, Backburner and Razoback while playing dustbowl with bots.
The last 3 have seemed to come almost exactly 20 minutes between each other.
Someone link me to the drop times page plz
[url]http://tf2stats.net/wrenches[/url]
About 1500 items drop every 20 minutes.
Therefore, about 75 items drop a minute.
[QUOTE=Populus89;23178015]The last wrench will drop on thursday.
There's a finite sum of between-each-drop times .
One can make a equation:
96h = The sum of (Wrench number i)drop time + (Random)amount of time.
It'd go like:
Wrench 1 drop time + Random + Wrench 2 drop time + random + Wrench3..... + Wrench 100 = 96h
There is a pattern.
We'd get an equation with 100 unknown variables that affect each other. So there is a pattern, yet you'd have to be good at advanced math (probability) to figure it out.[/QUOTE]
Can you explain a bit further?
[QUOTE=Killuah;23178036]Someone link me to the drop times page plz[/QUOTE]
[url]http://www.tf2items.com/lists/golden_wrenches/[/url]
[url]http://tf2stats.net/wrenches[/url]
This is the crappiest week to be on vacation :sigh:
I'm just gonna forget about the golden wrenches and enjoy the new engy items when I get back
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