There's no pattern behind the wrench drops, but they can be predicted - Games

[QUOTE=Luxy;23178056]r8l8m8[/QUOTE] Was replying to the poster above me.

So how long till the supposed next drop? I'll believe if it actually happens.

[QUOTE=Roflman;23178083]This is the crappiest week to be on vacation :sigh: I'm just gonna forget about the golden wrenches and enjoy the new engy items when I get back[/QUOTE] I'm sitting in a bed with a laptop, watching the wrenches slowly disappear.

About 7-8 minutes.

i wish i had domething to craft..fuck

[QUOTE=Omolong;23178122]About 7-8 minutes.[/QUOTE] Let's hope it happens then. We'll be on to something then :D I suggest a bunch of us craft 1 thing at about 10:50 EST(6 minutes from now) so that if that prediction IS true, one of us will have a chance at getting it.

I don't think it'll drop until another 20 minutes have passed

I just got the Towering Pillar of Hats from a drop.

[url]http://www.teamfortress.com/engineerupdate/[/url] the numbers in the gauge usually almost roll over when it's close, and it's normal right now, in comparison to the last 3-4 times. And it won't be the same over and over again, you know.

[QUOTE=Omolong;23178122]About 7-8 minutes.[/QUOTE] no, about 15 minutes. im giving ideas about algorithm in another thread : [url]http://www.facepunch.com/showthread.php?p=23178192[/url]

[QUOTE=Stizzles;23178245][url]http://www.teamfortress.com/engineerupdate/[/url] the numbers in the gauge usually almost roll over when it's close, and it's normal right now, in comparison to the last 3-4 times. And it won't be the same over and over again, you know.[/QUOTE] So there's a correlation between the positioning of the numbers in the gauge and how soon the next drop will be?

[QUOTE=Darksider;23178283]So there's a correlation between the positioning of the numbers in the gauge and how soon the next drop will be?[/QUOTE] Seems like it, from what I've observed. [editline]04:50PM[/editline] [QUOTE=obiwanek;23178263]no, about 15 minutes. im giving ideas about algorithm in another thread : [url]http://www.facepunch.com/showthread.php?p=23178192[/url][/QUOTE] This is probably the right time. :smile:

[QUOTE=TerabyteS;23178054]Can you explain a bit further?[/QUOTE] Since there's a random number, we can only approximate using statistics. The algorithm in itself is random. In other words, there's a pattern but it's a pattern of randomly sized intervals.

I say 5 minutes

[img]http://www.teamfortress.com/engineerupdate/images/counter/c0.png[/img][img]http://www.teamfortress.com/engineerupdate/images/counter/c1.png[/img][img]http://www.teamfortress.com/engineerupdate/images/counter/c2.png[/img][img]http://www.teamfortress.com/engineerupdate/images/counter/c3.png[/img][img]http://www.teamfortress.com/engineerupdate/images/counter/c4.png[/img][img]http://www.teamfortress.com/engineerupdate/images/counter/c5.png[/img][img]http://www.teamfortress.com/engineerupdate/images/counter/c6.png[/img][img]http://www.teamfortress.com/engineerupdate/images/counter/c7.png[/img][img]http://www.teamfortress.com/engineerupdate/images/counter/c8.png[/img][img]http://www.teamfortress.com/engineerupdate/images/counter/c9.png[/img] It's just for the looks.

that is unless valve decides that things are going by too quickly and decided to let the drops drag on like yesterday

3 and 4 are offset. I wonder what that could mean.

3 minutes according to mine pattern, invented 20s ago. [editline]02:55PM[/editline] Now 2

[QUOTE=TerabyteS;23178414]3 and 4 are offset. I wonder what that could mean.[/QUOTE] That you're trying too hard

any second now... I can feel it

New idea- a whole lot of thousands of seconds.

<3:00 is 10% 3:03 is 99% 3:05 is 90%

[QUOTE=Stizzles;23178245][url]http://www.teamfortress.com/engineerupdate/[/url] the numbers in the gauge usually almost roll over when it's close, and it's normal right now, in comparison to the last 3-4 times. And it won't be the same over and over again, you know.[/QUOTE] [img]http://www.teamfortress.com/engineerupdate/images/counter/c2.png[/img] [img]http://www.teamfortress.com/engineerupdate/images/counter/b2.png[/img] [img]http://www.teamfortress.com/engineerupdate/images/counter/b1.png[/img] [img]http://www.teamfortress.com/engineerupdate/images/counter/a1.png[/img] [img]http://www.teamfortress.com/engineerupdate/images/counter/c1.png[/img] [img]http://www.teamfortress.com/engineerupdate/images/counter/b0.png[/img] [img]http://www.teamfortress.com/engineerupdate/images/counter/a0.png[/img] [img]http://www.teamfortress.com/engineerupdate/images/counter/c0.png[/img] those are all different pictures FILENAME EXPLANATION: a0/a1 represents the hundreds, the 0 or the 1 for [B]1[/B]00 b0-b9 is used to represent the tens, [B]0[/B]1-[B]9[/B]0 c0-c9 is used to represent the ones, 0[B]1[/B]-9[B]9[/B]

[QUOTE=obiwanek;23178465]<3:00 is 10% 3:03 is 99% 3:05 is 90%[/QUOTE] So you're saying in about 4-5 minutes?

[QUOTE=Stizzles;23178507]So you're saying in about 4-5 minutes?[/QUOTE] yep

Then I'll go with that, wish me luck

[QUOTE=Stizzles;23178539]Then I'll go with that, wish me luck[/QUOTE] ill do 2 crafts, one at 3:03 and one at 3:05 :]

2 minutes [editline]05:01PM[/editline] i only have enough for one

The code has moved.

I failed. :saddowns: