#AUSPOL STRAYA ELECTIONS 2K16 - MALCOLM TURNBULL REMAINS PRIME MINISTER.
507 replies, posted
[QUOTE=killerteacup;50632870]Annabel crabbs joke about cautiously optimistic balloons killed me
[editline]2nd July 2016[/editline]
Source? I would love this but guardian have not confirmed it
[editline]2nd July 2016[/editline]
Neither have abc
Oh sorry i thought you said they were confirmed
Youre right if tey win but i doubt they will win bith new seats[/QUOTE]
just predictions rn fam
Not sure how ABC is calling 50+ seats on each when Guardian is 19-20?
[QUOTE=Bradyns;50632901]Not sure how ABC is calling 50+ seats on each when Guardian is 19-20?[/QUOTE]
ABC is predictive based on swing, guardian is confirmed. Bad idea on ABCs part. Hugely misleading
ᴮᵃʳʳʸ
[editline]40[/editline]
Any idea how long it takes to call something?
im saying it
higgins, lnp hold
i dont think ball has this
Morrison seems to be in denial, but it's quite clear he's concerned that it's very possible that the ALP might just come away with it, maybe in a coalition.
SHORTEN DOESN'T KNOW HOW TO EAT A FUCKIN' SNAG LMAO
[media]https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=imJYae78KE4[/media]
is Bill Shorten a duck? you decide!
Im concerned about greens. They could even lose a seat via preferences. Hope thats not the case
[QUOTE=fruxodaily;50632912]im saying it
higgins, lnp hold
i dont think ball has this[/QUOTE]
Factoring in the swing, it would still be an uphill battle.
[QUOTE=fruxodaily;50632828]MAYO:
NXT [B]GAIN[/B][/QUOTE]
Huh, I preferenced Xenophon over the Liberals but didn't expect that.
[editline]2nd July 2016[/editline]
Wait, no, I'm Boothby. Mayo is across the road.
Di natale admitted ages ago they had no chance for higgins this election. Next election is another story.
I think they will retain one seat. Whether thats in melbourne or will is yet to be seen. 2 seats would be great but considering labor lib prefs, i doubt it
[QUOTE=Nacho Cheese;50632920]SHORTEN DOESN'T KNOW HOW TO EAT A FUCKIN' SNAG LMAO
[media]https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=imJYae78KE4[/media]
is Bill Shorten a duck? you decide![/QUOTE]
At least he ate one though.
I heard Malcolm didn't even eat one.
[QUOTE=Nacho Cheese;50632920]SHORTEN DOESN'T KNOW HOW TO EAT A FUCKIN' SNAG LMAO
[media]https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=imJYae78KE4[/media]
is Bill Shorten a duck? you decide![/QUOTE]
this fucks me off
Ippy is going to the red side!
But i could be wrong. If they win i think it will be batman
[QUOTE=Bradyns;50632933]Ippy is going to the red side![/QUOTE]
expected, Blair/Ipswich is a Labor safe seat with the current MP but ON getting more votes than GRN is concerning
normally its
1 ALP
2 LNP
3 GRN
not
1 ALP
2 LNP
3 ON
Susan lamb leading in longman!
[QUOTE=killerteacup;50632935]But i could be wrong. If they win i think it will be batman[/QUOTE]
Greens will get 2 seats if they can get Batman, everywhere else is unlikely
No Senate results yet.
WA is now in play.
Time to see how Durack turns out - Fuckin' huge electorate (1,629,858 km^2)
[QUOTE=ksenior;50632943]No Senate results yet.[/QUOTE]
Senate can take days.
[QUOTE=killerteacup;50632940]Susan lamb leading in longman![/QUOTE]
I'm facepalming myself over Family First having 9% in Longman. Why?
[QUOTE=Darth Ninja;50632929]At least he ate one though.
I heard Malcolm didn't even eat one.[/QUOTE]
Does it even count as eating a snag if he only ate bread?
Jamie briggs is confirmed as gone by abc
I don't even want to look at any news, I have no faith and I expect the worst.
[QUOTE=killerteacup;50632951]Jamie briggs is confirmed as gone by abc[/QUOTE]
Farout - Xenophon has really picked up the pace with his team.
[editline]2nd July 2016[/editline]
2.7% swing nationally to the ALP - pre-polls said a 1% lead by the LNP/Coalition - So, 1.7% win by ALP?
[QUOTE=Nacho Cheese;50632920]SHORTEN DOESN'T KNOW HOW TO EAT A FUCKIN' SNAG LMAO
[media]https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=imJYae78KE4[/media]
is Bill Shorten a duck? you decide![/QUOTE]
who the fuck gives you a snag in a bread roll? of course the poor man is confused
[QUOTE=Darth Ninja;50632945]I'm facepalming myself over Family First having 9% in Longman. Why?[/QUOTE]
It's because Longman is predominantly a conservative seat, every election excluding 2007 has been won by the Libs or LNP. It's probably why there's also a relatively similar amount of votes for One Nation.
But having lived here my entire life, I believe many of the 2nd preferences for both Family First or One Nation may have the ALP there. Up here, the term "socialist lefty" is still used because of the large amount of uneducated people & far right conservative elderly population in Caboolture, Western Morayfield / Bellmere, Burpengary and out to Bribie.
It's only in the more recently built rental developments and the mid - late 1990's home owner developer areas you see more of a ALP / Greens 1st preference.
The main reason I believe that Roy has lost Longman to the ALP is because we haven't seen anything of Roy ever since his electoral victory in 2010.
Plus, I believe the state ALP victory in the 2015 state election played a part in the urban areas whereas in regional areas that didn't do much of changing voters minds.
This is probably why Wyatt Roy is going to lose Longman to Susan Lamb.
Sportsbet has changed Labor Win from $10:1 to $4:1 in the last 20 minutes
ABC has confirmed Mayo for NXT
[editline]2nd July 2016[/editline]
Tasmania
ALP - 4
IND - 1
New sportsbet update:
Labor win: Was $4:1, Now $3.30:1
Liberal win: Was $1.08:1, Now: $1.30:1
Edit: My automerge :(
Lab: Now $3.00
Lib: Now $1.35
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