[QUOTE=Fat White Lump;49988751]But he's not [url]https://today.yougov.com/news/2016/03/14/trump-rises-national-support-rubio-falls-and-carso/[/url][/QUOTE]
First of all I loved how you failed to address my criticism of Trump's Policy, second of all Trump is winning purely on a plurality of voters. A lot of Republican voters of the establishment don't want him in. Second of all, this is only an account of Republican Primary voters, not nationwide. Nationwide he fares horribly.
So to recount:
Hispanics hate him
Blacks hate him
Women hate him
Democrats hate him
Independents (The biggest voting block) hate him
Establishment Republicans hate him
There's numbers on all of these. He's easily the most hated Presidential Candidate. I personally hopes he gets the nomination because it'd spell doom for the Republican party.
CNN also just showed that if Bernie won [I]every single state[/I] left, with a 55 to 45 margin, he still would have less delegates.
(not counting supers)
Trump ain't winning shit lmao. In a national poll he hardly hits 40% against any democrat. He's a big fat mess.
Yeah. I read somewhere he needs something more like 60-65% to win it?
And that's if he even gets the nomination. The RNC fucking hates his ass
[QUOTE=GarbageCan;49988861]First of all I loved how you failed to address my criticism of Trump's Policy, second of all Trump is winning purely on a plurality of voters. A lot of Republican voters of the establishment don't want him in. Second of all, this is only an account of Republican Primary voters, not nationwide. Nationwide he fares horribly.
So to recount:
Hispanics hate him
Blacks hate him
Women hate him
Democrats hate him
Independents (The biggest voting block) hate him
Establishment Republicans hate him
There's numbers on all of these. He's easily the most hated Presidential Candidate. I personally hopes he gets the nomination because it'd spell doom for the Republican party.[/QUOTE]
Him [I]not[/I] getting the nomination would be even worse for the Republican party. Also your big silly list of people who "hate" is laughable.
Bernie's last hope is super delegates and they'll never switch. Really the only possibility is he pulls off some remarkable wins, and some of the supers switch to him. Too bad both of these are very unlikely
Numbers on all my claims:
[url]http://fivethirtyeight.com/features/donald-trump-is-really-unpopular-with-general-election-voters/[/url]
[url]http://www.usnews.com/opinion/blogs/peter-fenn/articles/2016-03-21/trump-has-deep-demographic-problems-come-the-2016-general-election[/url]
[url]http://www.politico.com/story/2015/12/donald-trump-2016-women-voters-217086[/url]
[url]https://www.washingtonpost.com/news/politics/wp/2016/02/25/poll-trumps-negatives-among-hispanics-rise-worst-in-gop-field/[/url]
People really fucking hate Trump.
[QUOTE=sgman91;49988853]It's just funny to me that you jump to them doing some backhanded stealing of delegates when there's absolutely no need to do that and still win.[/QUOTE]
Maybe not "backhanded stealing". In the end its the candidate with the majority that wins (and maybe the RNC will change its rule, who knows...)
[QUOTE=lope;49988866]CNN also just showed that if Bernie won [I]every single state[/I] left, with a 55 to 45 margin, he still would have less delegates.
(not counting supers)[/QUOTE]
So his margin is winning by 5~+% in the remaining states?
If he can pull California and Washington off by a larger margin, he might still be in the game.
[QUOTE=lope;49988866]CNN also just showed that if Bernie won [I]every single state[/I] left, with a 55 to 45 margin, he still would have less delegates.
(not counting supers)[/QUOTE]
The thing about that is many of said states would go higher for Sanders, being Washington, Oregon, possibly PA and Indiana, Kentucky or West Virginia. But yeah, he really needs a miracle right now.
[QUOTE=glitchvid;49988888]So his margin is winning by 5~+% in the remaining states?
If he can pull California and Washington off by a larger margin, he might still be in the game.[/QUOTE]
This is true, but even so he will be behind in delegates. He seriously needs huge wins, or those supers to switch sides
[QUOTE=lope;49988884]Bernie's last hope is super delegates and they'll never switch[/QUOTE]
I think it's a little early to be talking about 'last hopes'. Maybe he strikes every northern state at 80+%. That's extremely unlikely to put it lightly I guess but I just have this 'why' reaction to anybody that's calling the doom of his campaign right now.
We haven't seen his performance in the north yet. I think that'll speak volumes about how casually people should be throwing around the 'death' of his campaign. I don't think 65% is impossible for him in the North. I don't see much in evidence that supports it outside of anecdote - but I'd like to at least see him fail before I agree that he's on his 'last hope'.
Idaho is calling it's caucus "the biggest in US history" and that prelim results will be released "soon"
[QUOTE=GarbageCan;49988885]Numbers on all my claims:
[url]http://fivethirtyeight.com/features/donald-trump-is-really-unpopular-with-general-election-voters/[/url]
[url]http://www.usnews.com/opinion/blogs/peter-fenn/articles/2016-03-21/trump-has-deep-demographic-problems-come-the-2016-general-election[/url]
[url]http://www.politico.com/story/2015/12/donald-trump-2016-women-voters-217086[/url]
[url]https://www.washingtonpost.com/news/politics/wp/2016/02/25/poll-trumps-negatives-among-hispanics-rise-worst-in-gop-field/[/url]
People really fucking hate Trump.[/QUOTE]
Democrat voters are down 35% compared to Republicans and Trump has a 53% national support rating with them. Get ready to Make America Great Again.
[QUOTE=Overworld;49988769][img]http://puu.sh/nQDdy/3e77356a6d.png[/img][/QUOTE]
This is beautiful. Do you mind if I put the reddit alien on the shirt?
[QUOTE=Fat White Lump;49988910]Democrat voters are down 35% compared to Republicans and Trump has a 53% national support rating with them. Get ready to Make America Great Again.[/QUOTE]
Can we make healthcare great again while we're at it, please, by convincing Trump to do something more useful for people who aren't in the position to be 'happy' about a public HSA?
I know he wants to make the states do their medicare thing but giving money to Texas to do medicare does nothing for me. I'm too 'rich' to qualify for it - but too poor to invest anything useful into an HSA or buy insurance that does anything.
[QUOTE=lope;49988899]This is true, but even so he will be behind in delegates. He seriously needs huge wins, or those supers to switch sides[/QUOTE]
Which they wont. Super delegates switching side to Bernie despite losing in terms of the number of delegates is unthinkable (unless he can cast a magic spell on them or hypnotize them)...
[QUOTE=Fat White Lump;49988910]Democrat voters are down 35% compared to Republicans and Trump has a 53% national support rating with them. Get ready to Make America Great Again.[/QUOTE]
It's like you didn't even click or read the sources
[QUOTE=Chaitin;49988923]Which they wont. Super delegates switching side to Bernie despite losing in terms of the number of delegates is unthinkable (unless he can cast a magic spell on them or hypnotize them)...[/QUOTE]
US democracy needs more wizards
[sp]and clowns[/sp]
[QUOTE=Ridge;49988916]This is beautiful. Do you mind if I put the reddit alien on the shirt?[/QUOTE]
Chill I don't use Reddit lmao
[QUOTE=LoganIsAwesome;49988936]Chill I don't use Reddit lmao[/QUOTE]
he's talking about repurposing it to make fun of the reddit people saying that same shit, not u...
[QUOTE=The Rifleman;49988927]It's like you didn't even click or read the sources[/QUOTE]
It's like I did and told you why it doesn't matter if there are significantly more Republicans voting and most Republicans favor him.
53% national support doesn't mean anything if he can't win any swing states.
[QUOTE=postal;49988939]he's talking about repurposing it to make fun of the reddit people saying that same shit, not u...[/QUOTE]
im sry dad
[QUOTE=postal;49988939]he's talking about repurposing it to make fun of the reddit people saying that same shit, not u...[/QUOTE]
Correct
[QUOTE=Ridge;49988916]This is beautiful. Do you mind if I put the reddit alien on the shirt?[/QUOTE]
Posting this on r/SandersForPresident would be hilarious.
[QUOTE=Fat White Lump;49988910]Democrat voters are down 35% compared to Republicans and Trump has a 53% national support rating with them. Get ready to Make America Great Again.[/QUOTE]
So? Democrat and Republican identified voters have gone down. This isn't anything new, independent voters now make up the largest voting block. Democrats still hold a slight advantage over Republicans in numbers. Also, 53% national support between a single party shouldn't get you excited; you should feel afraid, because that means 47% of a minority of voters may be dissatisfied with the outcome of their primaries. That isn't to say every one will be; some are going to be staunch republicans. But some might not be willing to go out in November. You should be afraid of your Republican Establishment voters not supporting a candidate they don't want rather than a lack of identified democrats (Again, party identification is meaningless today; largest voting block is independent, etc)
[url]http://www.politico.com/story/2016/01/poll-political-party-identify-217562[/url]
[QUOTE=wystan;49988883]Him [I]not[/I] getting the nomination would be even worse for the Republican party. Also your big silly list of people who "hate" is laughable.[/QUOTE]
Explain why it's laughable?
[QUOTE=Fat White Lump;49988910]Democrat voters are down 35% compared to Republicans and Trump has a 53% national support rating with them. Get ready to Make America Great Again.[/QUOTE]
IMO, republicans not voting for Trump are going to balance out the extra voters. Probably half the conservatives I know won't vote for Trump.
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