Gallup: Republican Party favorability highest since 2011 - Polidicks

The article says their minimum quota is 70% cell 30% landline.

Life is great for republicans right now. The economy is great for them and their investments, they control most of the government, the scary brown people are getting bagged, and the country is sealing itself off because fuck you got mine. All of the problems being created by their representatives either don't affect them in the short term or don't affect them period. They love it. And if it comes back to bite them in the ass, those traitor lib cucks must have done it.

I disagree with the way the media bias website conflates liberal bias with general leftism. MSNBC is not pro-left wing, they're pro-Democratic party who are most definitely not left wing.

Ah somehow Trump is the rational non-hysteric person in politics

We’re totally fucked if all it takes to threaten (what’s left of) our democracy is fake news and conspiracy theories.

yup

Conspiracy theories have always been present in society but they've never been elevated to the highest public office in the land.

That falseness "informs" enormous numbers of people, exclusively, about what opinions they should hold and that their personal views are equivalent to valid political views somehow. These masses then go on to vote for more lies to keep them safe from all the made up danger they were told they were in, perpetuating a self feeding cycle of ignorance held up as the better to understanding, and getting and keeping dangerous people in power who spout legislation that will remain long after they are gone. That's why it's a danger, not the network itself, but the very real imprint it leaves daily that is actively damaging to anyone that isn't a part of it, and even those that are, though they are taught not to look ahead very far to care.

I've pointed this out before but the number of self identifying Republicans have gone down over the years. People that have stuck around of course are the true diehards. The GOP cares about a tiny niche of the overall American populace.

As someone who has an incredibly hard time putting myself into a specific camp and is in support of both democratic and republican politicians, the two-party system is such a failure and will continue to lead to the demise of media and truth in favor of two monolithic binaries that not at all representative of the views of half the nation. My hope is that people wise up to this sooner rather than later and action is taken. We can't keep being optimistic that either party is going to get their act together when they have no incentive to do so.

Then our first step to achieve that is to get us off first-pass-the-post as a nation.

I don't think people are going to disagree that the two party system is bad, but if you think that Republicans and Democrats are two sides of the same coin, then you are terribly mistaken.

You're exactly right. Looking at our situation pragmatically; regardless of what you think of the other side, you will not move any ground if you are steadfast in your beliefs that the opposite side is an ultimate evil.

THe dems are better at hiding their true motives and they're not social cancer, but let's not kid ourselves: They're also corporate fucks that will happily sell us out to make a buck. Nobody on Capitol Hill is truly 'for the people'. The goal of the Blue Wave we all want in a couple months isn't to install good politicians. That's impossible. They don't exist. The goal is to install slightly less sleazy slimeballs that won't actively commit treason on national fucking television. The hard left wants to ruin our way of life just as badly as the hard right does, just in a different way. A good politician is one that doesn't pick sides, that votes for whatever will improve the most lives while removing the least freedoms all while shrugging off corporate bribes. They'll look for actual solutions to our society's issues, not simply 'ban X' or 'Tariff Y' or 'Close Borders '^' '. They won't fearmonger or lie, they won't make things seem worse or better. They won't sugarcoat or downplay a situation, and they definitely won't try to ramrod shitty SupCourt pick through despite all the proof he's not fit for the bench or throw twitter tantrums while pulling us out of major treaties because '~reasons~'. We're choosing the lesser of two evils when we push to vote the GOP out of Congress this November. We're basically voting back in the status quo we had under Obama as a temporary stopgap measure while we wait for Mueller to clean house.

The right is driven by political hysteria though. Yeah but the difference is they would be wrong and Splash Attack would be right. Unless you are willing to explain why the Democrats are as bad as Republicans these are non-arguments. Simply saying both parties are bad and both sides think each other is bad is completely pointless self-satisfaction.

Listen man I love 538 and all the other political prediction / analysis sites as much as the next guy but I lost a whoooole lot of respect for those figures when sites started rolling numbers like this or worse (I remember in some cases upwards of a 90% chance for Clinton) on election day only to orbital strike Clinton down as states started calling their figures. https://files.facepunch.com/forum/upload/109874/245096f0-1b45-44a5-b499-ac34de29f169/image.png Yeah I'm aware a lot of these figures were based off of polls and what they expected to be the popular vote and what not.

It shows Trump has a 28.6% chance of winning and he won. I'm not seeing the problem here.

71.4% does not equal 99%. Unless they 538 was peddling it as a certainty I don't see much fault with those percentages.

Not important but I'm trying to work out how you can love someone and lose a whooooole lot of respect for them at the same time.

Some poll analysts absolutely went nuts with it, but 538 was always extremely restrained, and regularly called out the "overconfidence" (recklessness) of other major analytical predictions as being absurd. Their statistical model was based on available polling data and historical trends, but they constantly cautioned that Trump did have a clear path to victory -- it just relied on a lot more uncertain conditions being met than Clinton's, and that in nearly all realistic victory conditions for Trump, he would be losing the popular vote. At the end of the day, the exact conditions they stated would need to be met for a Trump victory were met.

Why must this assault on the meaning of probability continue? That image does not say "CLINTON WILL GET 71% OF THE VOTE AND TRUMP WILL ONLY GET 28%!!!", it says "the chances of Trump winning are a bit higher than if you rolled a four-sided die and happened to roll a 1." Those are not bad fucking odds for Trump.

What's your point. According to them Trump had a 30% chance of winning, which are decent enough odds for some gambles in my book. You seem to be one of those people that think >50% means instant and uncontested victory or something...

For some reason people seem to equate the chance of winning with the popular vote which is a very silly idea.

I mean no disrespect in this whatsoever and I say this whole-heartedly and out of interest for your well-being: If you believe those odds in any way make it even unlikely that Trump would win, please do not ever gamble with any significant amount of money.

Are we really starting with this retarded shit again? Flip a coin twice, try to get heads both times. Congrats, if you did, you just accomplished something more unlikely than the Trump presidency according to 538. Rant about the Huffpost or whatever, but bringing up this shit is literally so fucking retarded.

T - H - E - L - E - F - T Ooga booga scary boogeyman

Could you link that source? im not trying to imply it’s fake, Its curious and I’d like to use that myself

Its the punditfact sub unit of politifact. Im on mobile atm so i cant much find stuff comfortably. If you google punditfact it should give you the numbers and statements too somewhere

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=cV1XoclfexI

jon plz come back ;_;