Almost twice as many youth are likely to vote in the 2018 midterms as in 2014 - Polidicks

https://civicyouth.org/circle-poll-youth-engagement-in-the-2018-election/ The 2018 midterms have the potential to be historic for youth political participation, with young people receiving campaign outreach, paying attention, and intending to vote at unusually high levels (34% “extremely likely” to vote) that come close to the levels of engagement seen in the 2016 presidential election. Young people who report being actively engaged with the post-Parkland movement for gun violence prevention are even more likely (50%) to say that they’re extremely likely to vote. Our poll reveals strong support overall for Democratic candidates in Congressional elections (45% plan to vote for Democrats, versus 26% for Republicans), but large disparities among different demographic groups of young people, with Black and Latino youth much more likely to support Democratic candidates, young white men actually favoring Republicans, and unaffiliated white youth spreading their support across various parties and ideologies. We also find that, for all the focus on young people’s engagement with political content online, family remains the most important way for youth to learn about the election and the most influential in their engagement and participation. Here’s more about our findings: The 2018 elections are garnering an extraordinary amount of media attention and inspiring significant activism, much of it led by or focused on young people. That may explain why indicators of youth engagement appear unusually high for a midterm cycle, and much closer to what we saw in 2016. Our poll finds that 34% of young people (ages 18-24) are “extremely likely” to vote in the midterms. Interestingly, 18 to 21-year-olds—this election’s newest voters, who were not yet eligible to vote in 2016—reported that they are extremely likely to cast ballots at a similar rate. That would represent a significant shift, since these ‘youngest’ young people have historically had lower voter turnout than ‘older’ youth. By comparison, our 2016 pre-election poll found that 40% of 18 to 24-year-olds were “extremely likely” to vote, and subsequent post-election analysis found that number to have been generally predictive of turnout as calculated by other sources. If that holds true again this year, it points toward the potential for a substantial increase in youth turnout. More young people are paying attention to congressional elections this year than in 2016, and we find that attention correlates with likelihood to vote. Some of that attention has been related to issues that have driven significant discussion and action among youth, such as gun violence prevention. Yet, as we’ve seen in our other analyses, young people’s interest in a particular issue, by itself, is not enough: youth must receive outreach and basic information about voting for their engagement to translate into voting. The importance of trust, and the impact of longer-term voter socialization processes like being part of a family that discusses elections and voting, are borne out by our previous polling. For example, in both our 2012 and 2016 pre-election polls, youth reported being more likely to cast a ballot if someone in their family asked them—the highest among all options for that question. https://civicyouth.org/wp-content/uploads/2018/10/circle2018poll_congressional_ballot_race.jpg In 2014 it was 18%.

Good, show the corrupt geezers you mean business

Oh man those graphs are going to make some alt right racists lose their shit.

I like to think the Trump madness has awoken young people to how much is at stake. It sure as hell was key to my political perspective taking a turn hard left (relatively speaking. I'm a center-left social democrat, but when you factor that 2 years ago I was fairly conservative by American standards and would have almost certainly voted R if Trump wasn't the fucking nominee, it looks much better in comparison).

https://files.facepunch.com/forum/upload/111492/d4fc4c49-2ce0-4c3f-8747-e454c07bab6b/image.png I hate this & hate being associated with this.

Can someone from the US explain why there's ~12% of black/latino youth groups still planning to vote republican? I only read the main articles about US politics and republicans seem to pull some seriously racist shit against them.

For Latinos at least I would say a lot of those are Cubans who want a tougher stance on communism. I had a roommate like this.

Sorry I accidentally quoted you and I'm on mobile It's an ancedote but often times Latinos can get pretty conservative. The whole "no free handouts pull yourself up" and "mental illness doesn't exist you're just sensitive" mindsets are prominent in a lot of my family members and friends families as well. They also have a "fuck you got mine" mindset sometimes when it comes to immigration because they think if they stop letting people in they'll also stop trying to get people out.

I like how they including Millennial voters who want voted third parties/Independents based in their ideological beliefs. I really wished other polling groups can do same.

I’ll believe it when it happens. Most people are too lazy when the day comes.

Stop being white then

Atleast it's better than being part of the "Old white men" group

God I wish I still lived in VA-10 so I could get the satisfaction of voting that bitch comstock out

A new age

I can't speak for black people, and on top of what has already been said about latinos, there's also the fact that latinos really hate taxes, are religious, and tend to be pro-gun. Latinos really are a mixed bag though, there are a shitload of us that can pass for white so they end up pretending to be white. There are a shitload of white supremacists that are just closeted mexicans or italians.

"I hate the Democrats, they get nothing done." *Votes for the party of grand staller McConnell"

is this a self loathing thing "don't lump me in with them" kinda thing, or do you just disagree with the classification? please explain, i legitimately don't understand

Don't lump me kind of deal. It's batantly apparent that young middle class white dudes are a huge politically blind group so I hate that I'm lumped in with that category.

Do a reverse Michael Jackson.

I find this mindset simply pathetic. Self loathing isn't productive; it solves nothing, and if anything, it gives the alt-right more ammunition with another point of evidence saying "hey, the left hate whites." Because regardless of what you meant, "It's batantly apparent that young white dudes are a huge politically blind group" is a pretty shit statement, and arguably racist. Replace white with any other demographic and see how it sounds, and please don't give me the "power+prejudice" non-argument.

I'm not apologising for being white in any of my statements. I simply don't like that a demographic I'm a part of supports a facist platform. And my point stems from that group class being the only one on the list that swings further red than any other group. Stop trying to sugar coat the facts.

Don't we hear about young people becoming a bigger factor in literally every single election and it's almost never actually true?

to be fair, most of the new 'youth' weren't eligible to vote in 2014

The illusion of being able to be like those at the top, aka, the American dream, is very strong for some people. That combined with some people's generally selfish motivations it is no surprise that even the most downtrodden might support their oppressors.

I think people should listen to what idiots like Candance Owens says. She's definitely full of shit, but she's genuine in her beliefs. And at least one or two of her arguments about why certain aspects of democratic policy is actually racist in one form or another do hold some water. It's just that her solution to the problem of some democrats being idiots/racist/stupid is to go full on Trumpism and to eschew any form of informed view point beyond the initial problem.

My greatest nightmare is that one day I am going to wake up as a boomer and not know how I got there.

While this is good news, remember that it is not a victory https://twitter.com/jacobsoboroff/status/1049670459577552901?s=19

From the replies I saw that young people haven't voted in large numbers since Vietnam, young people need a tangible real actual thing that directly impacts them to get voting. It's not Trump, or climate change or anything like that, only something like the draft or a economic depression will do it.

It's an advantage that the Republican party has been running on for awhile; if a big part of your rhetoric is that the government is irresponsible, useless, and prone to gridlock then that serves as cover for when you come into power. People think that is just how DC functions.

politics aside who wouldn't give a smiley news guy the cold shoulder if he walked up asking about politics