US Election Results 2018 - A blue wave in a sea of piss - Polidicks

On the bright side... Beto was able to pull some huge Dem fundraising to Texas, possibly resulting in some House seats. In addition he can run for President unimpeded now.

If Bernie doesn't run in 2020, or atleast, someone like him, Beto 2020 would be a great idea, I think.

looking a little good but not great

Seems the House under Democrat control is a safe bet at this point. If we can defang Trump via investigations, that's a good start. Trump has gotten away with too much, especially that expose from a few weeks back about Trump and his history with taxes.

"The White House now sees that race baiting is a winning strategy"

https://twitter.com/Nate_Cohn/status/1060012359819948032

Looking like an improvement over the previous situation, at least.

Well, and beyond that the Texas Senate got fucking rocked.

I was ready for Beto to lose but I thought the margin would be bigger than that. On the flip side I was hoping Gillum would pull a slight victory. Even though it looks like the Democrats are going to take the house it would have been really neat to see both of them win in their respective states.

Indiana went almost totally Red now, not that we'll see a difference since Donnelly is a Trump head anyways. Either way looks like we lost the battle but won the offensive campaign.

Ok I'm confused. So the Senate vote for Texas was premature. . With thousands of votes still unaccounted for. And then right after people still said Cruz won.

Since the Senate is almost impossible to be controlled by Democrats until new states are added. I don't really see any non-conservative or non-moderate federal judges being appointed in this country ever again.

Romney is weird because I don't necessarily hate him in light of what we've seen over the past two years, but I'd still drop him for a conservative Democrat at a moment's notice.

That goddamn needle gives me PTSD.

Hopefully he actually has enough integrity to take on Trump instead of just pulling a Jeff Flake.

CNN credited him with 2 house seats, honestly the dude is probably going to be a contender in the presidential primaries.

Shame Beto didn't pull through but if there's at least a positive takeaway to the race in Texas overall is that despite the strong Republican base Dems were able to get close in the polls, and in this current political climate that's a small ray of hope. If people can keep up the momentum in 2 years, the next election may be able to bring in a dramatic outcome. And while the counts are still early, a lot of the predictions are ending up accurate and at the very least the house majority belonging to the Dems is a good step forward either way.

Shame, I was really hopeful for Beto to pull off a miracle, but looks like Ted "My Tonsil Stones Voted Too" Cruz has won. Bright side is how close that race was, especially during the beginning, and I would be surprised if Texas infact turns blue in the near future.

Still holding out for Beto. Don't know why places are calling it so early. Harris County in Houston has just over 10% of precincts reporting, while the majority of the rest of the rural precincts are fully reported at this point. Travis County still only shows 1 precinct reporting - barely over 300,000 votes out of a population of 1.3 million, overwhelmingly pro-Beto. The cities are lagging behind in reporting, which tends to happen due to higher vote counts/population. Still not convinced that Bexar, Harris, Travis, and Dallas counties won't be able to turn things around, especially with the 70%+ support in southern border counties. There are hundreds of thousands to millions of votes yet to be counted in those districts combined, and they're all overwhelmingly in support of Beto. Most of the largest Republican counties are fully reported, and there's probably only a few straggling 1,000-10,000 vote counties remaining for them. Still hoping for an upset, but won't be shocked if Cruz takes it again.

I could be wrong, but seeing as the NYT live reporting says Texas only has 37% of its votes counted, isn't it a bit early to call this?

https://files.facepunch.com/forum/upload/150862/60d92f77-3eb9-4996-a5a2-1757bd30fc9e/image.png Box me if I'm an idiot, but why are we considering it over for Beto? It's only 37 percent and most of the places that haven't reported their votes yet are near major cities.

VA-7 is so close with Spanberger leading <1%, but NYT is giving her an 85% chance so that's cool.

it's worth noting that despite the democratic losses there, the state has a whole decided to restore voting rights to felons who have served out their sentences https://www.miamiherald.com/news/politics-government/election/article220678880.html So maybe the next election is the one to watch

They know how regions that haven't reported tend to vote, and the strength of turnout in regions that have voted is an indicator of how much the future regions are likely to vary.

Wow. What are the chances of both of us joining Facepunch on exactly May 30, 2011 and voting today in UT. Did you get the sticker? Conveniently red, but at least the little Utah silhouette around the O is neat. https://files.facepunch.com/forum/upload/553/e3fd9d6b-159d-43f7-89ba-c93518c43093/image.png

They're probably modeling it after exit polling (basically 'who did you vote for' when people get out of the polling location; which people are free to decline answering for). If you extrapolate that and use it with a large enough randomized sample of folks who voted, you can likely get pretty statistically close to a 'likely outcome' for extrapolating the current trend of votes out to the final results of the night.

Ok so Texas is still premature and people are still just calling it early? Got it

wiener* Cruz could run unopposed and take home 150% of the vote and still not be a winner.

Fun fact: Braun was a Democrat up until 2012 and then suddenly switched to the Republican Party 🤔 Kinda half surprised that he won considering I saw almost nonstop support for Donnelly by everyone I know or saw in the entire northern half of the state.

I'm not american so maybe I'm confused but I thought the problem this election is the democrats had more seats up for election then the republicans. Looking at 2020 the situation seems reversed. Doesn't that mean that even just holding most of their current seats puts them in a good position to take the Senate when they can go on the offensive in 2020? https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/United_States_Senate_elections,_2020