Hurricane Florence poses an extreme threat to Southeast and Mid-Atlantic US
138 replies, posted
That's Hurricane Issac
That would be current Tropical Storm Isaac. It was previously a hurricane, but recently weakened. It may restrengthen after entering the gulf, but Cuba will likely harm it enough to keep it either a TS or a cat 1.
Yeah my B. Depends on where it goes. No one's really paying attention to it right now because of Florence but it could be a sleeper and sneak into the gulf.
https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/storm_graphics/AT09/AL092018_5day_cone_no_line_and_wind.png
https://www.tropicaltidbits.com/storminfo/09L_geps_latest.png
https://www.tropicaltidbits.com/storminfo/09L_intensity_latest.png
It's early to say what it will do but it's triggering my Harvey PTSD. This was Harvey (screenshot from a NHC pdf)
https://files.facepunch.com/forum/upload/1861/04d3dd60-a3c9-4b42-bdfe-b239c6632b62/Screenshot_20180912-165546.png
I'm just skimming thru this thread and just cant help but wonder, I remember there was a hurricane of similar scale last year, is it a new hurricane in the same area? And if so, how often are these, on a year basis?
There was Irma not far off this time last year, maybe that's what you're thinking of? Although that was closer to Issac's predicted path than Florence.
Hurricane season is seasonal, officially starting on June 1, and ending November 30. It happens every year and the general location of where the storms go and how bad they are depend on a multitude of atmospheric and oceanic factors.
2017 Atlantic hurricane season saw Harvey, Irma, and Maria. 2018 has been relatively quiet for the first half of the season, but exploded in September (peak season)
2018 Atlantic hurricane season
Similar seasonal cyclone activity happens elsewhere around the world.
http://discovermagazine.com/~/media/Images/Issues/2007/sept/map_sm.jpg
This map shows all of them on record.
Markedly cooler out. Guessing the low pressure system's starting to work its *magic.*
Of the few people I ran into, there seems to be a greater sense of ease. We're still expecting a storm surge in the coming days but it's no longer the catastrophe that we were expecting. That said, momma nature obviously doesn't give a fuck. It could all change in a matter of hours.
It's been a week of absolutely bodacious skies:
https://imgur.com/oA3B0Pz
It might not be this week, but eventually Savannah and the rest of southeast Georgia is gonna get fucked by a hurricane. We usually get really lucky when it comes to hurricanes sweeping north or hitting low in Florida and petering out.
It depends. Usually, you need to buy a bullshit cocktail of coverage to completely cover your property -- and that's really steep. If you're on the beach like me, the premiums for flooding insurance are already fairly high. Most people aren't going to pay that much -- especially if it's in a depressed area like mine.
I can't say for certain what'll happen to the folks in the Carolinas, but if I had to guess, they're probably not covered for all of this. I don't think many of them have flood insurance.
So yeah -- expect a lot of lives to be ruined.
Considering how much we've neglected Climate Change and haven't attempted prevention methods or protections against it. Wouldn't surprise me if a large portion of these Hurricane prone areas across the globe become uninhabitable. The amount of chaos each year due to increasingly deadly hurricanes would make any attempt to rebuild everything completely pointless.
There's also usually a plethora of state and federal financial aid you can apply for if you qualify, though as per usual with assistance, people don't know it's available to them. In Houston I just saw a thing on the news that they still have millions available in aid for people. There's also tons of private charities and groups that can help, too. These are the things federal and state disaster funding goes to when states declare states of emergency.
When hurricane Ike rolled in, it destroyed some properties closest to the beach. After the storm the city prohibited building there, so in situations like that those people obviously gotta go somewhere else.
I'm sure people get completely fucked over, but it's not the norm.
Florence is now a Category 2 with 110 mph sustained winds with pressure of 957mb
It's not at landfall yet. I saw on CNN a few minutes ago that the eyewall is weakening, but they don't know if it's actually breaking down or just undergoing eyewall replacement yet.
https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/storm_graphics/AT06/AL062018_5day_cone_no_line_and_wind.png
https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/storm_graphics/AT06/refresh/AL062018_earliest_reasonable_toa_no_wsp_34+png/032254_earliest_reasonable_toa_no_wsp_34.png
Florence is still at sea but it's increasing it's speed towards the coast. But to answer your question, yeah when a storm makes landfall it almost immediately loses power, since hurricanes need warm water to fuel them.
It's time for a lesson on the FEMA Waffle House Index.
https://www.fema.gov/blog/2011-07-07/news-day-what-do-waffle-houses-have-do-risk-management
If a Waffle House store is open and offering a full menu, the index is green. If it is open but serving from a limited menu, it’s yellow. When the location has been forced to close, the index is red. Because Waffle House is well-prepared for disasters… it’s rare for the index to hit red.
http://blog.headsupweather.com/wp-content/uploads/2016/12/3.png
https://twitter.com/WaffleHouseNews/status/1039606662234075137?s=19
As of right now, it's reported at least one Waffle House in Myrtle Beach is closed until after the storm passes. Though the Index is usually considered after the storm has impacted the area.
https://twitter.com/WaffleHouse/status/1039924793347383296?s=19
Florence's outer bands have begun to wash in on the outer N.C. coastline; all of y'all up there- stay safe. Hopefully anyone in the path has evacuated by now, but sadly there's always stubborn holdouts.
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=deG4NxkouGM
It's almost there. Storm is a 105mph cat 2.
https://sirocco.accuweather.com/nx_mosaic_400x300_public/sir/inmsirsc_.gif
https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/storm_graphics/AT06/AL062018_5day_cone_no_line_and_wind.png
https://www.tropicaltidbits.com/storminfo/06L_tracks_latest.png
https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/storm_graphics/AT06/refresh/AL062018_wind_probs_34_F120+png/152247.png
https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/storm_graphics/AT06/refresh/AL0618WPCQPF+gif/152247WPCQPF_sm.gif
In other news, Hawaii got hit by TS Olivia:
https://twitter.com/JimCantore/status/1040157474001756161?s=19
Also, ten years ago today, Hurricane Ike made landfall in Galveston, TX as a 110mph cat 2.
https://twitter.com/TravisABC13/status/1040197727332847616?s=19
https://twitter.com/DavidPaulKHOU/status/1040049290763223041?s=19
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=gQb5V57jlxo
Stormchasing seems like such a good career, presuming it's his actual career.
I've always wanted to do that. Always had a weird fascination with terrible weather, and love when I have the chance to experience it.
https://youtu.be/c6iDftCU_h4
Big waves
View PanasonicHD camera in United States, Belville
For reference, this is where it is:
https://assets2.roadtrippers.com/uploads/blog_post_section/attachment/image/184590/blog_post_section/attachment-image-d648f674-d31a-4145-a980-ed0c18252052.jpg
In guessing there are people still there since the camera moves every once in awhile... but also, how is that thing standing up to the constant battering?
One of the managers was on TV and said the platform is currently abandoned. They got a remote feed. It's a function bed and breakfast I hear.
https://i.redd.it/4yf3t2lfdxl11.png
The live feed it still going, though you can't see anything. Volume warning though, the wind is VERY loud!
Maybe with all the new publicity they can invest in an IR camera.
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